Links: Improbable Events, Decoupling, Takeovers, Pricing, etc.

Some quick links to some items of interest:

• Tough economic times are ahead, and they’re priced in (NTRS)
• The coming deflation scare (Morgan Stanley)
• States face two years of falling tax revenues (Bloomberg)
• Distance isn’t quite dead: Recent trends in trade patterns (PI)
• The decoupling myth (NTRS)
• Q3 GDP details tell a grim story (NTRS)
• Percentage of unsolicited takeover offers at five-year highs (Bloomberg)
• Nice look back at a prior boom & bust (Haaretz)
• IMF to Bailout Pakistan (Calculated Risk)
• Stock fund investors pull a record $70-billion in October (Bloomberg/TrimTabs)
• Probing the Improbable: Methodological Challenges for Risks with Low Probabilities and High Stakes (arXiv)
• Economics needs a scientific revolution (Nature/arXiv)
• Secrets of the S&P 500 (MSN)
• JPMorgan’s plan to freeze foreclosures for three months: Does that really matter? (FT)

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