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January 2, 2008

linkfest -- 01/02/08

Emptying my burgeoning browser tabs:

  • Wien: Top surprises for 2008 include a second-half rebound, and an Obama landslide (Bloomberg)
  • Tom Wolfe's new novel is (sort of) about Florida subprime (CP)
  • NY Times launches foot ball prediction market  (Predictify)
  • Recession now a lock says Nouriel (RGE)
  • New study says Federal Reserve policy-makers' forecasts are "useless" (Bloomberg)
  • Tax cuts not only don't starve government and cut spending, they increase it (NBER)
  • The Weather Channel is for sale -- and my birthday is coming up! (NY Times)
  • Sphere It   |  Digg this! Digg it   |  Bookmark this! Bookmark it   |  Stumble It! Stumble it   |  Facebook this! Facebook it

    Comments

    Somewhere (don't remember where) I remember reading the theory that tax cuts increase government spending because they lower the price of government services in the short term. In other words, if we the people aren't actually paying anything in taxes, we quite rationally start asking for more and more from our government. After all, it isn't costing us anything.

    Don't know if it's true, but kind of makes sense.

    Roubini had a lock on recession by mid 2007 too. Looks like this broken clock is going to be right one of these years

    http://www.rgemonitor.com/blog/roubini/158194/

    I know. But I love Nouriel dearly -- he's wild and passionate, like an economic Roberto Benigni.