The Best Post on Microsoft This Year

By Paul Kedrosky · Monday, February 5, 2007 ·
Roger Ehrenberg has up the best post you have read on Microsoft this year. He cuts through the crap on Vista, being appropriately cutting about its supposed merits, as well as about BillG's inability to sell them. Meanwhile he puts the launch in context, with quotes, appropriate skepticism about analysts, and some history and a soucon of spot-on phrasing.

Okay, stop reading my precis and go read Roger. Now. Not gone yet? Fine, here's his conclusion:
We may be witnessing an historic changing of the guard, which takes place in every generation. Remember IBM? They were invincible. How could they be beat? By a couple of geeks in a dorm room, that's how. Microsoft rises. And then another snot-nosed kid with a great idea and a dorm room made it happen in the box business, enter Dell. Then others got wise and squeezed their efficiency-based margins to nothing. Apple rose like a phoenix, crashed and rose once again, by virtue of innovation and a customer-centric ethos. Sony was like IBM. Now they've been bloodied by the customer-centric and community-oriented Nintendo. And now there's Google, the poster-child for the democratization of the Internet and the ever-flattening, increasingly frictionless world. When put in this context Microsoft just seems so big and slow and old, hidebound by 30 years of culture and organizational silos that seem impregnable. And it appears that Vista - the product, the PR, the marketing approach - is the result of such an organization. At times brilliant, very heavy, complicated and expensive. This is not a product for today. This is a product for an era when the desktop ruled. And that era is long gone.  
Now go!
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