Herman Miller as Contrarian Indicator

With Herman Miller delivering standout financial results tonight, as well as raising guidance, I keep wondering the obvious: Is MLHR a contrarian indicator? After all, the last time Herman Miller was doing so well selling Aerons was at the peak of the last tech boom, so … businesses are obviously buying lots of expensive chairs again, which must mean something.

Driving that point home, the MLHR folks went out of the way on the conference call tonight to dissuade people from thinking that this was purely an Aeron phenomenon:

And the other thing I would mention on the seating business that although our seating did increase as a percentage of sales, it wasn’t just the on Aeron chair. We had a great increase in our other chair lines, the Celle chair, the Mirra chair; I mentioned the large project win we just had with Mirra, and then also our Caper chair. So it’s much more broad-based then it’s been in the past, showing that our investments in broadening that portfolio are starting to pay off.

Riiii-iight. That’s what you would expect from them, if they knew Aeron sales were a contrarian leading business indicator.

Related posts:

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  3. Being Contrarian Pays Better Than I Thought
  4. Apple and the Magazine Cover Indicator
  5. Contrarian Catnip in Telecom


  1. Anon says:

    Companies, sure, what about Gov. Contractors ordering said (1k+) chairs?

  2. whatever says:

    What’s your point?
    I mean can’t you say this with just about every cyclical stock in the market… that their earnigs and stock prices are highest at the end of the business cycle right before a major slow down or sell off?