Last year was generally a crummy one for enterprise software [ed., Say what you mean: business software], with only the odd acquisition leavening an otherwise neverending stream of bad news, from low growth, to lower exits, to non-existent new markets. Some think this year will be more of the same, with the sector deep in secular decline, with all the major enterprise [ed., Business!] software categories dominated & declining, and with growth merely a memory. Others think that negativity is vastly overdone, and that 2006 will actually see a snap-back recovery in business spending on technology, including on software.
So, here are three views on the 2006 software [psk., There, I won't use the word at all] outlook:
- The self-promoting “it will be bad for everyone but we software as a service vendors” view
- The “I’m a reasonable person” view
- The “thing looks great … for us!” view